Crypto is sleepwalking into the holiday weekend — BTC rangebound near $67,000, volatility compressed, futures activity muted — even as the macro backdrop keeps stirring. Oil is moving on Iran headlines, the jobs report drops at 8:30am ET with no stock or bond market open to absorb the data, and derivatives are tilting bearish with negative funding and puts trading above calls. Bitcoin will price the March payrolls number alone, for three full days before equities reopen.
Nexo is a premier digital wealth platform offering crypto yield up to 16%, crypto-backed credit lines, and a wide range of digital assets. It is returning to the U.S. with an enhanced platform and 30-day access to exclusive privileges for new clients.
Nexo's products and services are not available to residents of certain jurisdictions. This content is not intended for use by persons in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Rates, product availability, features, and applicable terms may vary based on jurisdiction, eligibility, loyalty tier, and other factors, and are subject to change at any time.
What matters today
Macro
Story 1 of 3
Jobs report drops at 8:30am. Crypto is the only market open to react.
The March nonfarm payrolls print lands this morning with NYSE, Nasdaq, CME futures, and bond markets all closed for Good Friday — leaving crypto as the sole venue for price discovery through the long weekend. Consensus is +57,000, a rebound from February's −92,000 (the worst since 2020). If it comes in weak or negative, rate-cut expectations could shift and BTC may push toward $70,000–$75,000. A strong print pushes the opposite way, with $65,000 support increasingly exposed: ETF demand has turned negative, CME and ETF flows go dark today, and large holders have been net sellers.
Elliptic says North Korea likely behind the $285M Drift exploit
Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic flagged multiple indicators linking the Drift exploit to North Korea's state-sponsored hackers — including pre-positioned wallets, early test transactions, and a structured cross-chain laundering flow consistent with prior DPRK operations. The attack, which used social engineering to compromise multisig signers rather than any smart contract flaw, now stands at $285 million. If confirmed, it would be the eighteenth DPRK-linked crypto theft tracked by Elliptic in 2026, with over $300 million stolen so far this year. North Korean hackers took a record $2 billion in crypto in 2025.
Iran signals willingness to cooperate on the Strait of Hormuz
In a late-session reversal Thursday, Iran signaled it is prepared to cooperate on reopening key Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, sending oil prices sharply lower and trimming BTC's losses into the close. The development follows Trump's hawkish address Wednesday but aligns with a broader diplomatic push from Gulf states. Brent crude fell nearly $6 a barrel on the news. Bitcoin and equities pared declines. Whether the signal leads to actual reopening — and whether that would materially ease the inflation outlook — remains the key question heading into the Easter weekend.
CoinDesk Disclosure: The information contained in this newsletter, and any information linked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency or digital assets.
L1.co Disclosure: This material is for informational purposes only, and the content contained herein should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to sell or buy any asset, strategy, or product. Investing in digital assets involves a high degree of risk, including the loss of principal.
Crypto Daybook Americas: A newsletter from CoinDesk
