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What you need to know today in crypto and beyond July 1, 2021 Welcome to The Node.
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Questions? Feedback? We'd love to hear from you! Simply reply to this email.
–Daniel Kuhn
Today's must-reads Top Shelf WAY TO GO: A new law in Germany takes effect today that could see up to 350 billion euros ($415 billion) flow into crypto. Germany's Fund Location Act allows Spezialfonds, or special funds, the dominant institutional investment vehicle in the country, to invest up to 20% of their portfolios in crypto. Theoretically, if all special funds invested the maximum amount that would total $415 billion, according to Sven Hildebrandt, CEO of Distributed Ledger Consulting.
MAKING HISTORY: Brazil's largest bitcoin exchange, Mercado Bitcoin, raised $200 million in funding from the Softbank Latin America Fund. This is Softbank's largest investment in a Latin America crypto company so far, and the largest Series B round in the region's history.
BIG PRIORITY: The U.S. Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is taking a closer look at the crypto industry. The agency published its first list of eight government-wide priorities Wednesday, including researching cryptocurrency's use in cybercrime. According to the statement by FinCEN, the agency will specify at a later point how financial institutions should incorporate these priorities.
REGULATION: South Africa is looking into ways to regulate crypto assets following two scams this year. According to the country's financial regulator, a structure is expected to be in place in three to six months.
–Helene Braun
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"It sounds like the most viable solution is Texas."
–QCP Capital's Darius Sit on Chinese miners, speaking to CoinDesk's "First Mover."
A message from CoinDesk EIP 1559: Ethereum's Fee Market Upgrade Explained CoinDesk Research's newest report dives into the economic impacts and investment implications of Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 1559. At its core, the code change is designed to make transaction fees on Ethereum less volatile and more predictable.
At the same time, EIP 1559 also poses several risks to Ethereum including risks of miner capitulation or revolt, technological risk in the form of unexpected bugs, and risk of user disappointment. In this report, CoinDesk Research gives an overview of how EIP 1559 works and its intended impact for investors, miners and users. Download the full report.
What others are writing... Off-Chain Signals
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Putting the news in perspective The Takeaway Before We Regulate Crypto, We Need to Know What Crypto Is The government needs to know more about crypto before it can regulate it.
That was a central premise of a congressional hearing yesterday devoted to the risks crypto presents for retail and institutional investors. The hearing was provocatively titled: "America on 'FIRE': Will the Crypto Frenzy Lead to Financial Independence and Early Retirement or Financial Ruin?"
"Today's hearing will ... assess the systemic risks to the economy, as well as the risk of loss to individual investors caused by recent periods of extreme volatility in crypto assets that are not backed by any form of tangible collateral," Rep. Al Green (D-Texas) said, kicking off the event.
The hearing took place at a moment when U.S. lawmakers seem to be cranking up the heat on the crypto industry. A host of government officials and agencies have stated the importance of rethinking the nation's crypto strategy. CoinDesk Managing Editor Nik De said yesterday's meeting on Capitol Hill seemed to be more of a fact-finding mission for Congress than a witch hunt. (He live-tweeted the event if you want a full rundown.) Finding facts could be a difficult task in crypto. Despite the fact the industry is (mostly) built on fully transparent and audible ledgers, there's a remarkable amount that's unknown. For instance, exactly how big is this industry? How many cryptocurrencies are there?
"At the outset it is worth noting that there is no official public data source for cryptocurrency prices, market size or volatility. This lack of data is a significant problem," Sarah Hammer, managing director of the Stevens Center for Innovation and Finance at the Wharton School at UPenn, testified. "Financial regulators are at a distinct disadvantage in evaluating their regulatory options," she added later, conceding a general lack of knowledge.
Hammer brings up a significant point: Before regulators can get clear about the risks to consumers or the economy as a whole, they need to get a better grasp on crypto. She noted that before the 2007-2008 financial crisis, there were no official data sources for credit default swaps (the derivatives product that blew a whole in the world's biggest banks) or clarity on how to regulate them.
Of course, there are a number of independent and trustworthy data sources in crypto. But sometimes even getting a clear answer on what bitcoin's price is could be daunting – fractured markets mean there is no unified price, only various estimates using different measures. A similar question came up this week when a judge dismissed the U.S. government's case against Facebook for monopolistic practices. U.S. District Court Judge James Boasberg wrote in an opinion: The Federal Trade Commission's "inability to offer any indication of the metric(s) or method(s) it used to calculate Facebook's market share" makes its argument "too speculative and conclusory to go forward." Boasberg gave the government 30 days to come up with a metric that measures how big the social media economy is and how much attention share Facebook has captured. It'll be a difficult task. Of course, the government isn't pursuing legal action against "crypto," but it is trying to answer a similar question about size.
–D.K.
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