Thursday, October 18, 2018

Hear the 2019 Outlook from Chief Advisor of Allianz/PIMCO

Sorkin and El-Erian to do a fireside chat
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At Consensus: Invest, we're not just bringing investors from crypto to offer their analysis.

We're also bringing investors from traditional investment operations that have taken an interest in the asset class to tell their stories and how they look at crypto.
Andrew Ross Sorkin

Columnist/Editor
The New York Times
Dr. Mohamed A. El-Erian

Chief Economic Advisor
Allianz
Sorkin is an award-winning journalist, author of Too Big to Fail, co-creator of the hit series Billions, and co-anchor of CNBC's Squawk Box. 

El-Erian joins us from Allianz, the corporate parent of PIMCO, a massive fixed-income fund, where he formerly served as CEO and co-chief investment officer from 2007-2014. Back in June, he told CNBC that bitcoin was a buy below $5,000.

He comes with a unique approach to the asset class. Don't miss this fireside chat where the two will discuss crypto and El-Erian's analysis of the space. 
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We have a variety of well-respected analysts who will listen to pitches by token projects and then dive deep into them. 

Analysts will question, provoke, and probe token issuers in the Deal Room. Get the sharpest information in real-time from token issuers and the best analysts.

For token projects interested in participating, please fill out this application

Hotel Room Block

For those out of towners: there are still room nights available at the Marriott Marquis, but they are quickly selling out, and the block expires on November 5th. 

Register for the event and then get your hotel, so you focus all your efforts on talking with these leaders in the space and identify new opportunities to invest in. 
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#96: On Carl Sagan and smart contracts

A new crypto cosmos
MIT Technology Review
Chain
Letter
Blockchains, cryptocurrencies, and why they matter
10.18: A new crypto cosmos

Welcome to Chain Letter! Great to have you. Here’s what’s new in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. 

Want to regulate smart contracts? Good luck. If it seems like policymakers are flummoxed by the rise of cryptocurrencies, wait until they get to smart contracts. Just ask Brian Quintenz, commissioner for the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission. At a conference in Dubai this week, Quintenz expressed a sense of awe at the vast unknown that blockchain-based computer programs have created for his agency.

The CFTC oversees commodity futures and swaps markets. Since 2015, when the agency designated Bitcoin a commodity, its purview has included markets for cryptocurrency derivatives. Quintenz gave a specific example of a smart contract that falls within the agency’s jurisdiction: a prediction market that lets users bet on the future price of a commodity. The CTFC sees that as a kind of derivative called a binary option, and before a binary option can be listed it must be registered with the CFTC, he said. That seemed like a clear reference to markets that have already appeared on Augur, the Ethereum-based platform that allows users to set up markets for betting on the outcome of future events. (see “This new blockchain-based betting platform could cause Napster-size legal headaches”)

In the past, the CFTC has been able to build its regulatory structure around market intermediaries that must register with it. That won’t work in the world of decentralized blockchain networks, Quintenz said. “How can our regulatory apparatus, built to register and oversee intermediaries, adequately police our markets and set standards for a disintermediated market?”

Who should be held accountable for an unregistered binary option, for example? In some cases it might be appropriate to prosecute those who developed the smart contract code, Quintenz said. He dismissed the argument that the developers aren’t liable since they have no control over what users do with the protocol they created—which is how Augur’s creators have responded to questions about the potential of illegal activity on their platform. But prosecuting the code’s developers won’t get rid of the code, which runs on a blockchain network. So what should the CFTC do if users keep listing illegal contracts?

Quintenz concluded his speech on smart contracts with a Carl Sagan quote that he said he finds poignant: “[W]e live in a society dependent on science and technology, in which hardly anyone knows anything about science and technology.” You can say that again, Commissioner.

More stablecoin madness: A day after Tether dropped below 90 cents to an 18-month low, the Winklevosses’ dollar-pegged stablecoin lost its peg too—but in the opposite direction, briefly rising to nearly $1.20 before returning to around a dollar. Wait, are stablecoins actually not?  

AI isn’t up and coming. It’s here.

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Loose Change

Fill your pockets with these newsy tidbits.

Blockchain-for-journalism startup Civil has missed its fundraising target, and is offering refunds to investors. (Quartz)

Rwanda's government says it is working with a UK blockchain startup to track extraction and export of tantalum, an element used in mobile phones. (Reuters)

Monero plans become the first major cryptocurrency to implement a zero-knowledge proof protocol called bulletproofs—a change that’s supposed to make private transactions more efficient. (CoinDesk)

Blockchain technology seems to be a hot topic in the Brazilian presidential election. (ETHNews)

The Trump administration’s tariffs against Chinese goods will hit mining chip makers, particularly Bitmain. (South China Morning Post)

The Money Quote

Criminals are always looking to loopholes in the system, so we are continuously on the lookout for new technologies and methods to combat money laundering and malicious actors.”

Wei Zhou, CFO of Binance, explaining the popular exchange’s new partnership with Chainalysis to implement software that monitors for illicit trading activity. That’s interesting coming from Binance, which has moved to Malta to avoid regulatory scrutiny and has thus far exhibited a laissez-faire attitude toward compliance. (CoinDesk)

Mike Orcutt
We hope you enjoyed today's tour of what's new in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. Send us some feedback, or follow me @mike_orcutt.
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Bitcoin Futures / Altcoins / Blockchain Jobs / Decentralization

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$BTC (1:01 p.m. EST): $6,531.29 (-0.28%) // 90-day high: $8,209.07 // 90-day low: $6,253.11/ / More

$BCH (1:01 p.m. EST): $443.88 (-1.19%) // 90-day high: $844.12// 90-day low: $420.58 // More

$ETH (1:02 p.m. EST): $205.04 (-1.35%) // 90-day high: $531.53 // 90-day low: $171.58 // More

$LTC (1:02 p.m. EST): $52.78 (-1.63%) // 90-day high: $107.31 // 90-day low: $49.35 // More

$XRP (1:02 p.m. EST): $0.45 (-1.96%) // 90-day high: $0.57 // 90-day low: $0.22 // More

Here are the 10 most important stories about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies today

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1. Bitcoin futures trading has steadily risen throughout the third quarter. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange showed that the average daily volume increased 41 percent from Q2 to Q3. The report also showed that the number of open contracts rose 19 percent in the same period. CME released a similar report at the end of Q2 that showed a significant increase from Q1. –BITCOINIST

Bitcoin futures trading continues to increase in volume
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2. The altcoin market has seen its share of price increases in the past few days. Stellar Lumens leads the growth with a 7.5 percent price increase, while IOTA has jumped three percent. While tron's price has remained flat, the coin continues to see user growth. CEO Justin Sun tweeted that tron mainnet accounts have surpassed 500,000 users and is adding about 100,000 new users each month. –NEWS BTC

Altcoin market sees growth in recent days
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3. There has been a 300 percent increase in the number of jobs related to bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and blockchain over the past year. Jobs site Glassdoor said there were 1,775 bitcoin and blockchain-related job openings in the United States, as of this past August. This is up from 693 at the beginning of the year and 446 at the same time last year. This increase has come as the cryptocurrency market has largely struggled throughout the year. –FORBES

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4. A new report claims that only 16 percent of cryptocurrencies are fully decentralized. CryptoCompare released its annual Cryptoasset Taxonomy Report earlier this week. It shows that the majority of coins are either centralized, or only semi-centralized, suggesting that the development teams behind the projects have some leverage to influence the protocol underlying the asset. –NEWS BTC

Only 16 percent of coins truly decentralized
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5. An analyst believes it is only a matter of time until bitcoin breaks out. –MARKET WATCH

6. The US Marshals will auction $4.3 million in bitcoin next month. –COINDESK

7. A Toronto-based clothing company only uses bitcoin cash. –BITCOIN.COM

8. Blockchain is coming to retail – and customers likely won't notice. –VOX

9. Here are six bitcoin documentaries worth watching. –BITCOIN AUSTRALIA

10. The Onion takes a satirical look at blockchain with this Q&A. –THE ONION

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Written and curated by David Stegon. He has been a reporter for 15 years, the past 10 focused on technology. Follow him @davidstegon.

Editing team: Lon Harris (editor-in-chief at Inside.com, game-master at Screen Junkies), Krystle Vermes (Breaking news editor at Inside, B2B marketing news reporter, host of the "All Day Paranormal" podcast), and Susmita Baral (editor at Inside, recent bylines in NatGeo, Teen Vogue, and Quartz. Runs the biggest mac and cheese account on Instagram).

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