Thursday, June 7, 2018

#61: On "stablecoins," and why China doesn't like the word "decentralization"

Steady as she goes
MIT Technology Review
Chain
Letter
Blockchains, cryptocurrencies, and why they matter
06.07: Steady as she goes

Welcome to Chain Letter! Great to have you. On Thursdays we take a closer look at one key concept in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. Feel free to suggest topics you think we should discuss in the future.

Spend enough time investing in (or reading about) the cryptocurrency world, and it’s easy to become a bit jaded about the wild, unpredictable price swings that seem to come with the territory. But it doesn’t necessarily have to be this way, say some blockchain developers. The trick, they argue, is to “peg” the price of a crypto-token to that of a fiat currency, like the US dollar.

“Blasphemy, heresy!” come the cries from the crypto-originalists, the hard core in the community who hopped on board this careening bandwagon based on a conviction that cryptocurrencies were invented to replace fiat money, not co-exist with it. And there is plenty of legitimate criticism to be levelled at the various instantiations of “stablecoins.” Some say the concept as a whole simply isn’t viable. Nevertheless, of late it has drawn plenty of interest—and venture capital. So, let’s investigate.

The schemes: The idea of a stablecoin is in fact several years old, and dollar-pegged tokens are already available on some cryptocurrency exchanges (For example, Tether and TrueUSD). But the recent mania around initial coin offerings has seeded a new crop, giving rise to different approaches to building a stablecoin that can be broken into three broad categories:

  • Back up the tokens with cash in a bank account. This is how Tether, the most popular dollar-pegged coin, works. That’s what it says, at least—the company hasn’t shown the public any proof that the more than 2.5 billion “USDT” tokens in circulation are all actually backed by dollars. Perhaps the well-funded startup Circle, which last month announced plans to develop a stablecoin fully backed by dollar reserves, will be more transparent. Either way, users of a system like this must trust a third party with their money.

  • Back up the tokens with other cryptocurrencies. Instead of using fiat money as collateral, why not use cryptocurrency? That eliminates the need to trust a third party, since it can be done on a blockchain. But it also introduces another source of volatility—so you risk getting a stablecoin that’s not very stable. One way to fix that is by “over-collateralizing”: users must first deposit a larger amount—$150 worth of ether, say, in return for $100 worth of a stablecoin. Ultimately, though, if the collateral currency crashes in price—always a threat in crypto-land—the pegged token would go with it.

  • Create an “algorithmic central bank.” This entails using software to increase and decrease the supply of the stable token to maintain its peg. The best example is a forthcoming project called Basis, which raised $133 million in April from several big name Silicon Valley VC firms. Basis’s white paper (PDF) describes a system that relies on the buying and selling of additional tokens besides the stablecoin (which, for now at least, is also called a “basis”). If its price drops below one dollar, the blockchain will sell “bond tokens” to users for stablecoins worth less than a dollar, and remove them from the system. The bond tokens are guaranteed to yield payouts of a full dollar once the stablecoin’s price returns to its peg.

Failing econ 101:  Perhaps the most vocal critic of stablecoins is Preston Byrne, a founder and former COO of the early blockchain startup Monex. Byrne, who has written extensively about the topic, said in an email to MIT Technology Review that developers of stablecoins fail to account for basic economic principles by assuming that they will always be able to “incentivize users of their systems to purchase their coins at an arbitrary price.” This “ignores that in all market-based exchange, price is determined by a meeting of the minds of a buyer and seller, not by an algorithm,” Byrne says. “All that is required for these systems to fail is for people not to buy the product.” ​

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Loose Change

Fill your pockets with these newsy tidbits.

Coinbase is setting up shop in Japan. (WSJ$)

Goldman Sachs-backed cryptocurrency startup Circle plans to seek a federal banking license in the US. (Bloomberg)
SAP is the latest enterprise software company to begin offering a cloud blockchain service. (TechCrunch)
Quebec will stop allowing new cryptocurrency mining projects to go online while it considers new rules and potential fees. (Reuters)
SEC chair Jay Clayton says the agency has observed ICO fraudsters trying to flee the country with “bags of cash.” (Bloomberg)

The Money Quote

When talking about blockchain, many people are talking about ‘decentralization.’ I’d like to make a small change to the word. I think the essence of blockchain is ‘de-intermediarization.’ There is no way to get rid of the center.

Xu Hao, a senior official in the government of the Chinese province of Guizhou. Hao appeared on an hourlong show about blockchain technology that recently aired on China’s state-controlled television network. (Quartz)

Mike Orcutt
We hope you enjoyed today's tour of what's new in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. Send us some feedback, or follow me @mike_orcutt

Top art by James Olstein
 
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