Tuesday, July 3, 2018

#66: Has Nakamoto resurfaced?

There's something strange, in your neighborhood.
MIT Technology Review
Chain
Letter
Blockchains, cryptocurrencies, and why they matter
07.03: There's something strange, in your neighborhood.

Welcome back to Chain Letter! Great to have you. Here’s what’s new in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. Special note: This week’s second edition will hit your inbox Friday instead of Thursday.

Is that really you, Satoshi? So, this is weird. Someone purporting to be Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto has acquired the domain nakamotofamilyfoundation.org and has used it to post an excerpt from a forthcoming “literary work” (PDF) that purportedly will deal with “some of the most brought up questions and answers” about Bitcoin.

Is it real? Who knows. Some cryptocurrency experts have already called BS. A quick investigation by Wired (which involved connecting with someone claiming to be a “proxy” for Nakamoto) was inconclusive. But if the question of Satoshi’s true identity inspires you or gets you riled up, you should probably just check out the 21-page excerpt yourself. In the meantime, linguistic experts are probably already working feverishly, comparing the latest text to previous writings by Nakamoto.

No, you’re raising red flags. With a federal criminal probe into cryptocurrency market manipulation looming in the background, a new report from Bloomberg has raised even more questions about the relationship between cheating and the price of Bitcoin. This time it’s the popular US-based platform Kraken that’s in the crosshairs. According to Bloomberg’s analysis of recent trading data, large trades involving Tether, a popular “stablecoin,” have seemed to affect the price similarly as smaller trades, “ignoring the normal rules of economics.” Bloomberg consulted experts familiar with market manipulation who said that this pattern, and the frequent appearance of “oddly specific order sizes,” are “red flags” that could imply cheating.

Tether has been a lightning rod for scrutiny for months. In June, an academic researcher with a history of spotting suspicious Wall Street trading activity published a paper suggesting that large Tether transactions at another exchange, Bitfinex, had been used to prop up Bitcoin’s price following downturns last year. In December, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission subpoenaed Tether and Bitfinex. Neither has been officially accused of wrongdoing.

In a defensive and dismissive blog post, Kraken denied any wrongdoing and argued that Tether’s price stability is simply due to its being backed by real US dollars (even though Tether has yet to prove that via an official audit). The post even suggested that it was Bloomberg, not Kraken, that should be accused of market manipulation, since it “raises red flags” that the story was published on a day when many Bitcoin futures expired. Come on, now.

Investors aren’t frightened by the increasingly crowded crypto-graveyard. Even though as many as 1,000 cryptocurrencies have already gone kaput, real money has not stopped pouring into the magic-internet-money industry. According to the Wall Street Journal, initial coin offerings raised $11.8 billion between January and May of 2018—compared to $5.5 billion in all of 2017.  (+This visualization shows just how crazy and explosive the ICO market has become)

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Loose Change

Fill your pockets with these newsy tidbits.

The FBI has 130 cryptocurrency-related investigations. (Bloomberg)

Tezos has launched a fully functional but still “experimental” version of its network. (CoinDesk)

Researchers studying Zcash transactions may have found clues about the sales of hacking tools that were stolen from the NSA by a group called the Shadow Brokers. (Motherboard)

Ripple’s recent efforts to promote its crypto-token, XRP, may actually hurt its case that the token is not a security. (New York Times)

The startup behind EOS wants to scrap the network’s constitution and replace it with a new one. (CoinDesk)

The Money Quote


The summer of 2017 was the high-water mark of, frankly, greed.”

 

Bart Stephens, co-founder of cryptocurrency venture fund Blockchain Capital. Stephens told the Wall Street Journal that now we are seeing a “normalization” of the ICO market in which more projects are aiming to be compliant and transparent.

Mike Orcutt
We hope you enjoyed today's tour of what's new in the world of blockchains and cryptocurrencies. Send us some feedback, or follow me @mike_orcutt.
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