Ethereum 2.0 Will Further Boost L2 Adoption
While L2 solutions have proven successful for this iteration of the Ethereum protocol, some have been skeptical of their continued success, seeing these solutions as temporary holdovers until the launch of the proof-of-stake (PoS) Ethereum 2.0 protocol release, which is expected to merge with the Ethereum mainnet in Q1/Q2 2022. To get an idea of the potential effects Etheruem 2.0 could have on the future of L2 solutions, it can be helpful to take a look at how a recent scalability upgrade, EIP-1559, affected L2 solutions.
EIP-1559
Source: @cembar, EIP-1559 Dashboard (Dune)
EIP-1559 was an Etheruem improvement proposal written by multiple contributors, including Etheruem’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin. The proposal’s goal was to implement a transaction pricing mechanism that would burn a fixed amount of Ethereum and dynamically change block sizes to combat network congestion and variable gas fees.
The proposal was implemented as part of Ethereum’s London upgrade on Aug. 7 and quickly burned $30M in ETH within its first 48 hours. The launch of the upgrade brought about changes to the macroeconomic policies of the Ethereum network but ultimately didn’t cause a drop in actual gas fees. In fact, it did the opposite. EIP-1559 was able to relatively stabilize gas fees at its launch, but it did so by reducing the bottom half of the extreme, making gas fees consistently high. Just over a month after the launch of EIP-1559, the TVL in L2 solutions jumped by over $3B.
Ethereum 2.0
Source: Ethereum.org
Ethereum 2.0 is a major upgrade to the Etherum network’s infrastructure that will see the transition of Ethereum’s consensus algorithm from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS). Among other things, the upgrade will be implemented in stages, aimed at increasing the network’s throughput and scaling its transaction speeds.
Similar to EIP-1559, it seems that Ethereum 2.0 will cause an impact on ETH’s macroeconomic policy, but not the need for L2 solutions. In a note written by Vitalik regarding the implementation of the upgrade, Ethereum 2.0 is anticipated to strike a balance between L1 and L2 features.
While the upgrade will tackle scalability and computation issues, doing so will provide additional benefit to the L2 solutions that interact with the Ethereum blockchain. The Ethereum blockchain currently operates at around 15 tps, with rollup solutions offering throughput speeds of around 3,000 tps. Ethereum 2.0 brings a theoretical maximum throughput of 1,000-2,000 TPS, giving way for rollup solutions to offer a potential maximum of 100,000 TPS.
Further, the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade deliberately leaves open innovations in privacy and scalable state storage for L2 solutions. Although not touched on in this newsletter, L2 solutions can be implemented for purposes other than scalability. For example, privacy rollup solutions like StarkWare have grown in popularity for their ability to solve scalability issues while simultaneously offering a way to make transactions less transparent on a public blockchain.
In summary, Ethereum 2.0 presents an opportunity for the improvement of L2 transaction and finality times in the same way that it will help Ethereum L1. Due to the multi-phased release of Ethereum 2.0 starting in Q1/Q2 2022, L2 solutions will continue to operate in the same capacity for the beginning of the new year and will feel a positive impact from the release of the upgrade within the mid- to long-term horizon.