November 16, 2020 By the CoinDesk Markets Team Edited by Bradley Keoun If you were forwarded this newsletter and would like to receive it, sign up here. Bitcoin (BTC) -0.6% $16,175 Ether (ETH) -0.2% $471 (Price data as of Nov. 16 @06:37 UTC) TODAY:
Price Point - XLM, XRP & EOS
The rumours that started a couple of months ago have now been confirmed by an official from within the Stellar Foundation: "Yes, the rumours are true, Staking is now Live on the Stellar Blockchain. The first 10000 stakers, that help us with the initial push, will receive extra incentives that could reach up to 25% Return". The Foundation has also released a blog post explaining further details.
Amidst growing regulatory uncertainty in the US, Ripple decides against an IPO and instead launches a massive 4.84 Billion XRP Program. "Instead of being focused on corporate partnerships or an IPO, which we are leaving for later on, we have decided to go straight to the community with the most direct approach - namely distributing liquidity directly to our hodlers." said Brad Garlinghouse. The announcement has sparked FOMO in the community, prompted by rumors that early applicants might be entitled to anywhere from 20% to 100% Return On Investment. Ripple has published a post explaining this in detail.
With all the chaos on Capitol Hill and WallStreet, many have missed the news about the SEC's investigation into Block.One's trading practices. The legal proceedings have come to a culmination with the announcement of Block.One giving away 99.6 Million EOS in order to avoid paying taxes and liabilities on them. EOS has set up a gateway specifically designed to help with the process. Holder's should check out our regularly updated article on the subject.
Market Moves Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has been sticking with his talking points lately. It goes something like this:
They're all key themes that cryptocurrency traders are following, since a growing number of investors say extensive money printing could bolster bitcoin's use as a hedge against inflation.
But what was perhaps more interesting and new among Powell's comments at a virtual forum Thursday hosted by the ECB was his acknowledgement that life as we know it – and by extension the economy – is probably never going back to anything like it once was.
"You'll see more telework," Powell said at the virtual forum. "We're not going back to the same economy. We're recovering to a different economy."
It was more than just a talking point. It might have offered a glimpse into a key issue that Powell hasn't said much about. The coronavirus will have a lasting and scarring impact on the economy, but remote working might be another massive factor to consider for monetary policy.
The economy is in upheaval, and not just because people aren't eating out or going to movies or traveling for leisure, or because so many businesses and households would be ailing right now without all the emergency aid.
A secular transition to commuting-by-Internet might be taking place, perhaps one of the biggest labor-force transformations since the industrial revolution, which lured people to cities.
If workers genuinely enjoy the remote setup, and many do, and employers are genuinely seeing just how productive their employees can be working remotely, and it costs a lot of time and money to commute, and it's easier on many working parents to set up base at home, why would there ever be a return to the old office-based civilization?
What would this mean for the airlines? Commercial real estate? Oil companies? Automakers? Theme parks? Cities?
Governments and central banks are probably going to have to provide a lot of aid and stimulus to assure that the transition goes smoothly, that society holds together, that people can manage. And that widespread debt defaults don't overwhelm the banking system. Even many people who think bankers take advantage of their enshrined role in the economy will acknowledge that banks play an essential role in the existing financial infrastructure.
Dave Hendler, principal and founder at the bank-analysis firm Viola Risk Advisors, says one implication is that the hand of governments and central banks could be heavy in the economy, for a long time.
He said in a phone interview that he recently trekked from the New York suburbs into Manhattan for the first time since February for a wine-tasting event. While he was in town he visited his old barber. The barber, who has "one kid and another on the way," told Hendler he's down to one customer a day from a pre-pandemic level of about 20 a day.
Imagine if many of the office workers never really come back. It's an extreme but entirely plausible scenario.
"It's going to be a longer readjustment, and it's going to be more harsh," Hendler says. "There's going to have to be assistance for the transition to the new world."
Central bankers like Powell are only just now getting around to thinking about this, much less talking about it. As soon as more investors start to focus on it, the remote-working economy will probably demand a lot more attention — and possibly a lot more money. - Bradley Keoun European Central Bank Christine Lagarde appears Thursday with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on a virtual forum. (CoinDesk screenshot of ECB video feed)
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Bitcoin Watch Bitcoin price chart showing the cryptocurrency's recent ascent above $16,000. (TradingView) Bitcoin appears to be holding above $16,000, and cryptocurrency traders are pondering the next move.
The big market debate now is if and when bitcoin returns to the record high price around $20,000 reached in December 2017.
George McDonaugh, managing director and co-founder of the publicly traded cryptocurrency investment firm KR1, wrote Friday in emailed comments that he doesn't expect bitcoin holders to sell until prices reach a new record, "given the comparatively small delta between $16,000 and $20,000."
Bitcoin has been known to surprise in the past with pullbacks that punish overly bullish bets. Alternative.me's Crypto Fear & Greed Index has pushed into the "extreme greed" zone, from a reading of "neutral" just last month.
"I expect we don’t reach $20,000 in this current move," though it's likely to happen in 2021, McDonough wrote.
As noted last week by First Mover, bitcoin has spent so little time above $16,000 in its 11-year history that analysts eyeing price-chart patterns for clues have little to work with.
Matt Blom, head of sales and trading for the digital-asset financial firm Diginex, wrote Thursday that the next key level of price resistance looks to be at $17,130, with downside support at $15,420.
"New multi-year highs are fast becoming a dull headline," Blom wrote. "The bias to the market is still firmly bullish."
Bitcoin is now up an astounding 127% in 2020, versus 9.5% for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index of large U.S. stocks and 24% for gold. - Bradley Keoun
What's Hot Blockchain data show $300B of bitcoin moving to Binance from Huobi as Chinese government cracks down on cryptocurrency exchanges (CoinDesk)
PayPal removes waitlist for new crypto service, boosts weekly purchase limit to $20K (CoinDesk)
Ant's $35B IPO has roots in goals for digital yuan (CoinDesk)
Uniswap farming ends in 4 days, potentially freeing up $1.1B in ether (CoinTelegraph)
ECB's Lagarde has 'hunch' digital euro will launch in 2-4 years (CoinDesk)
Hut 8 Mining Revenue Drops 43% in Q3 mining revenue from Q4 level (CoinDesk)
Brent crude-oil futures now tradable on DeFi exchange Synthetix (CoinDesk)
Chainalysis wants to help governmental clients sell millions of dollars in forfeited bitcoin (CoinDesk)
Analogs The latest on the economy and traditional finance Former Chinese finance minister Lou Jiwei said Friday that U.S.-China trade tensions may not necessarily ease under a Biden administration (Reuters)
Brazilian President Bolsonaro handing out $10B a month to poor as public debt heads toward 100% of GDP from 76% last year (WSJ)
Writing off student debt is one way Biden can build Black wealth (Bloomberg)
The deadline to divest U.S. operations for video sharing app TikTok has come and gone, leaving the social media giant in limbo (Nikkei Asian Review)
Webinar: How to Value Ethereum
In the second episode of the live webinar series How to Value Ethereum, CoinDesk Research unpacks the many quirks of Total Value Locked – the most popular metric for measuring decentralized finance growth.
Sign up for How to Value Ethereum episode 2 on Nov. 17.
Tweet of the Day Goodbye, DAI and bitcoin SV. Hello, kyber and cosmos.
A swelling in volume in the crypto markets over the third quarter has changed the list of noteworthy digital assets beyond bitcoin and ether that matter most to traders and investors. That change is reflected in the CoinDesk 20.
In the latest revision, five assets were replaced by crypto assets that saw volume surges outpacing even the double-digit gains posted in market volume as a whole.
The new assets are algorand (ALGO), cosmos (ATOM), cardano (ADA), kyber (KNC) and omisego (OMG). On average, incumbent CoinDesk 20 asset volume increased by 22% from Q2 to Q3. However, these crypto assets' trusted market volume increased by much more.
These five new crypto assets replaced incumbent assets that are well-known to crypto investors. Read more about how they displaced incumbents bitcoin sv, dai, zcash, monero and dash on CoinDesk 20's latest update.
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