👀 BTC eyes $75K — the line between bounce and bull run

Trump's 5-day Iran pause sent BTC to $71K. Iran denied the talks. $415M in liquidations followed. ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ SPONSORED BY Tuesday, March 24, 2026   Bitcoin is back above $71,000, but the road there was anything but smooth. Yesterday's wild session saw BTC whipsaw from $67,500 to $71,200 and back to $70,000 in a matter of hours — triggered by a Trump Truth Social post announcing a five-day pause on Iran strikes, then an Iranian denial that any talks had taken place. Over $415 million in leveraged positions were liquidated in four hours. Today the key question is whether $75,000 — the line analysts are calling the gateway to a full bull market — is within reach, or if geopolitical uncertainty will cap another breakout attempt. Read today's full report → Market snapshot As of 8am EST Asset Price 24h Signal BTC $71,240 +1.62% Recovering ETH $2,171 +1.68% Steady SOL $91.90 +3.55% Leading XRP $1.42 +0.79% Cautious Prices approximate. Visit coindesk.com/price for live data. What matters today Markets   Story 1 of 3 The $75,000 line in the sand: What it will take for bitcoin to go full bull Bitcoin has gained 4% in 24 hours to trade around $71,000, outperforming gold despite ongoing Middle East tensions and weakness in U.S. equity futures. But analysts say $75,000 — a level that has capped multiple rallies this year — remains the key threshold. A decisive break above that zone would signal renewed bullish momentum; failure to clear it reinforces the broader downtrend in place since October. Over $550 million in short positions were liquidated in yesterday's move, but declining open interest suggests the rally isn't driven by new leveraged conviction. Read more → Geopolitics   Story 2 of 3 Trump's Truth Social post triggers $415M crypto whipsaw Yesterday's session was a masterclass in headline-driven volatility. Bitcoin spiked from $67,500 to above $71,200 in under an hour after Trump posted that U.S. strikes on Iran's power plants would be paused for five days following "very good and productive conversations." Within minutes, Iran's Fars news agency denied any talks had taken place. BTC gave back $1,200 of the move instantly. The four-hour chaos produced $415 million in liquidations — $280 million in shorts, $135 million in longs — a 2-to-1 ratio that reveals just how heavily the market had been positioned for further escalation. Read more → Institutional   Story 3 of 3 BlackRock bets tokenized funds will do for Wall Street what the internet did to mail In his annual letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink argues that digital wallets and tokenized assets could modernize markets and fundamentally expand investor access — positioning the $11.6 trillion asset manager's growing crypto infrastructure bets as a long-term structural play rather than a cyclical trade. The letter arrives as BlackRock's BUIDL tokenized Treasury fund faces fresh competition, with Circle's USYC surpassing it to become the largest tokenized U.S. Treasury product at $2.2 billion, driven largely by its adoption as off-exchange collateral on Binance. Read more → A message from Grayscale Introducing Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF (Ticker: GAVA), offering exposure to AVAX and potential staking rewards. Launching with a 0% management fee*, GAVA reflects our conviction in Avalanche as a highly customizable blockchain with real-world use cases across gaming, finance, and enterprise. Why GAVA? • Staking exposure: Exposure to the native token of the Avalanche network, including its potential staking rewards. • Exposure to growing institutional adoption: Avalanche is a category leader in blockchain-based gaming with increasing traction among enterprises like KKR and FIFA. • Expert sponsor: Sponsored by Grayscale, the world's largest crypto-focused investment platform with over a decade of experience managing crypto investment products. The Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF (the "Fund") is not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and therefore is not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds or ETFs registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940. * Management fee at 0% for the first 3 months of trading or the first $1.0 billion of assets. After the fund reaches $1.0 billion in assets or after a 3-month waiver period, the fee will be 0.35%. Brokerage fees and other expenses may still apply. This information must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. An investment in the Fund is subject to significant risk and heightened volatility. GAVA is not suitable for an investor that cannot afford the loss of the entire investment. An investment in the Fund is not a direct investment in AVAX. This information should not be relied upon as research, investment advice, or a recommendation regarding any products, strategies, or any security in particular. This material is strictly for illustrative, educational, or informational purposes and is subject to change. Foreside Fund Services, LLC is the marketing agent for the Grayscale ETPs. © 2026 Grayscale. All rights reserved. CoinDesk Disclosure: The information contained in this newsletter, and any information linked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency or digital assets. L1.co Disclosure: This material is for informational purposes only, and the content contained herein should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to sell or buy any asset, strategy, or product. Investing in digital assets involves a high degree of risk, including the loss of principal. Crypto Daybook Americas: A newsletter from CoinDesk Were you forwarded this newsletter? Sign up here.  Copyright © 2026 CoinDesk, All rights reserved.  CoinDesk, Inc., 61 9th Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10011, USA Unsubscribe Manage preferences

👀 Insider bet? 10 fresh wallets wager on Iran ceasefire

Crypto bounces on Iran ceasefire bets — but a $25M stablecoin exploit and gold's worst week since 1983 remind us the risks aren't gone. ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ SPONSORED BY Monday, March 23, 2026   The Iran war is now four weeks old and remains the dominant force weighing on markets — but some participants are betting it ends soon. Onchain data shows 10 freshly created wallets placed $160,000 on a ceasefire before March is out, eyeing a potential $1 million payout. The wallets' suspicious timing has raised eyebrows, but the trade captures something real: if the war ends, crypto could see a sharp relief bounce. For now, valuations remain under pressure, even as BTC pushes higher this morning on the ceasefire speculation. Read today's full report → Market snapshot As of 8am EST Asset Price 24h Signal BTC $70,817 +3.82% Bouncing ETH $2,174 +5.05% Leading SOL $90.53 +4.25% Recovery XRP $1.43 +2.55% Lagging Prices approximate. Visit coindesk.com/price for live data. What matters today Markets   Story 1 of 3 Polymarket bettors wager $160K on an Iran ceasefire. The wallets look suspicious. Ten wallets with no prior transaction history sprang up simultaneously over the weekend, placing a combined $160,000 on an Iran ceasefire by month-end — a bet that could pay out over $1 million. The coordinated timing has raised insider-trading suspicions. Whether or not the wagers reflect real intelligence, they reflect a market truth: gold just posted its worst weekly drop since 1983, and a peace deal remains the single most powerful near-term catalyst for a risk-asset recovery. Read more → Security   Story 2 of 3 Resolv stablecoin crashes 70% after attacker mints $80M in unbacked tokens Over the weekend an attacker exploited a compromised private key in Resolv's USR stablecoin, minting roughly 80 million unbacked tokens with just $100,000 in collateral and extracting about $25 million in ETH. USR, designed to hold a $1 peg, crashed to $0.025 before a partial recovery to around $0.27. With $95 million in assets against $173 million in liabilities, the protocol is functionally insolvent. Resolv has paused all functions and is working with law enforcement to recover funds. Multiple connected DeFi protocols — including Morpho, Fluid, and Euler — moved swiftly to disable USR as collateral to contain contagion. Read more → Macro   Story 3 of 3 Gold erases all 2026 gains as Iran war sends metals into freefall Gold plunged as much as 8.8% last week to just below $4,100 an ounce, its worst weekly performance since 1983, wiping out all its gains for the year. The metal has shed more than 20% since the Iran war began. The selloff reflects broad deleveraging across traditional safe havens as the conflict drives energy inflation and forces institutional portfolio rebalancing. Bitcoin, by contrast, has held above $70,000 throughout — a relative performance that is drawing renewed attention from macro observers watching the BTC-to-gold ratio. Read more → A message from Grayscale Introducing Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF (Ticker: GAVA), offering exposure to AVAX and potential staking rewards. Launching with a 0% management fee*, GAVA reflects our conviction in Avalanche as a highly customizable blockchain with real-world use cases across gaming, finance, and enterprise. Why GAVA? • Staking exposure: Exposure to the native token of the Avalanche network, including its potential staking rewards. • Exposure to growing institutional adoption: Avalanche is a category leader in blockchain-based gaming with increasing traction among enterprises like KKR and FIFA. • Expert sponsor: Sponsored by Grayscale, the world's largest crypto-focused investment platform with over a decade of experience managing crypto investment products. The Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF (the "Fund") is not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and therefore is not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds or ETFs registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940. * Management fee at 0% for the first 3 months of trading or the first $1.0 billion of assets. After the fund reaches $1.0 billion in assets or after a 3-month waiver period, the fee will be 0.35%. Brokerage fees and other expenses may still apply. This information must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. An investment in the Fund is subject to significant risk and heightened volatility. GAVA is not suitable for an investor that cannot afford the loss of the entire investment. An investment in the Fund is not a direct investment in AVAX. This information should not be relied upon as research, investment advice, or a recommendation regarding any products, strategies, or any security in particular. This material is strictly for illustrative, educational, or informational purposes and is subject to change. Foreside Fund Services, LLC is the marketing agent for the Grayscale ETPs. © 2026 Grayscale. All rights reserved. CoinDesk Disclosure: The information contained in this newsletter, and any information linked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency or digital assets. L1.co Disclosure: This material is for informational purposes only, and the content contained herein should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to sell or buy any asset, strategy, or product. Investing in digital assets involves a high degree of risk, including the loss of principal. Crypto Daybook Americas: A newsletter from CoinDesk Were you forwarded this newsletter? Sign up here.  Copyright © 2026 CoinDesk, All rights reserved.  CoinDesk, Inc., 61 9th Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10011, USA Unsubscribe Manage preferences